I am trying to model the evolution of odds in football (soccer) over the course of the game. I have calculated the expected home and away goal per game. I then broke it down into expected goals per minute by scaling the expected goals by (90-minute)/90. I have created a table with the expected goals for various scorelines for each minute of the game. I am attaching an image of the first few columns and rows. I calculated the probabilities using...
Originally asked by Roberto Emile Tello on Stack Exchange (sports) (CC BY-SA 4.0).
